AGP Executive Report

El Obeid Humanitarian Alarm: UNICEF says more than 300 children were killed or injured in Sudan’s war over the past six months, with drone strikes driving about 60% of the casualties, as civilians face siege-like conditions and attacks hit schools, markets, fuel and water. UN Rights Pressure: The UN Human Rights Council adopted a measure condemning escalating violence around El Obeid and authorizing urgent scrutiny of alleged abuses, amid warnings the city could face “another El Fasher.” RSF Messaging vs Warnings: An RSF-aligned alliance called El Obeid a “legitimate military target,” arguing civilian presence doesn’t change its status, even as international bodies urge protection of civilians and civilian infrastructure. IOM Warning: IOM warned El Obeid risks becoming like El Fasher unless safe corridors and aid access are opened, pointing to repeated drone attacks on power and fuel facilities. UAE Aid Push: The UAE announced $30 million in emergency humanitarian assistance for El Obeid, stressing civilian protection and safe, unhindered aid delivery. Health and Daily Life: In Omdurman, maternity wards reopened, offering a rare sign of normalcy for mothers despite shortages and war disruptions.

Humanitarian Aid Push: The UAE announced a $30 million emergency response for civilians in El Obeid, North Kordofan, citing worsening needs for food, healthcare, safe water and shelter, and urging all sides to protect civilians and allow unhindered aid. Atrocity Warnings: Sudan’s leadership again accused the RSF of war crimes and crimes against humanity, while the UN’s IOM warned El Obeid could face “another El Fasher” if attacks continue. Siege and Strikes: Reports say Sudanese forces repelled RSF drone attacks near Omdurman and advanced toward Kurmuk in Blue Nile, as shelling killed civilians in Dilling, South Kordofan. Public Health Crisis: In North Kordofan’s Bara, medics warned 200,000 people face cholera and measles outbreaks plus food and medicine shortages; in West Kordofan, cholera deaths and infections were also reported. Local Violence in Darfur: At least 11 civilians were killed and markets burned in RSF attacks on towns near the Chad border in North Darfur. Regional Politics: A report claims Saudi Arabia paid RSF commanders to defect to the Sudanese army, adding to the growing picture of external influence shaping the war.

Sudan War Diplomacy: The EU’s Horn of Africa envoy says Saudi Arabia is “key” to pushing Sudan toward a ceasefire and political transition, pointing to Jeddah talks as a rare moment of bringing both sides together. Human Rights Alarm: UN rights chief Volker Turk warns Al Obeid could become “another El Fasher,” citing siege-like conditions, shortages, and relentless drone strikes, as the UN Human Rights Council debates emergency action. El Obeid Under Fire: Aid workers report schools and fuel infrastructure hit by drones, with more than 20 killed in recent strikes, as fears grow of a renewed RSF push. Poverty Deepens: A UN report says 73% of Sudanese now live below the poverty line, up sharply since 2023, as war destroys livelihoods and drives families into extreme coping. Return Home: Sudanese authorities report 1,174 voluntary returns from Egypt, with more repatriation plans for sick and elderly citizens. Health Support: Qatar Charity launches paediatric catheterisation and open-heart surgeries in Wad Madani, adding to humanitarian medical efforts in Gezira.

El Obeid Crisis Escalation: UN rights chief Volker Türk issued a “red alert” over a looming catastrophe in El Obeid, warning of siege-like conditions for 18 months, relentless drone strikes, and documented patterns of summary executions, abductions, torture and sexual violence—urging world leaders to act fast as fears grow of an RSF offensive. Diplomatic Pressure for Ceasefire: The UAE called for an immediate ceasefire and humanitarian truce, backed calls to expand the UN arms embargo across all Sudan, and urged safe aid access; Qatar also urged respect for international law and dialogue, while Sudan’s foreign minister said Khartoum is ready to engage in “sincere initiatives” aligned with its war-ending roadmaps and renewed calls to designate the RSF as a terrorist group. Humanitarian and Economic Fallout: A UN report says poverty has surged to 73% of Sudan’s population (about 24 million people), with families cutting meals, selling assets, and pushing children into work as the war grinds on. Repatriation and Aid: Sudan reported 1,174 voluntary returns from Egypt, with priority for sick and elderly; Qatar Charity launched paediatric cardiac catheterisation and open-heart surgery support in Wad Madani, aiming to ease pressure on Gezira’s health services.

El Obeid Atrocity Warning: UN rights chief Volker Türk issued a “red alert” over a looming catastrophe in Sudan’s El Obeid, saying civilians face siege-like conditions for 18 months and “relentless” drone strikes that hit schools, markets, fuel and water infrastructure, with at least 45 killed and 41 injured in June alone. Diplomatic Pressure: Britain-led UN Human Rights Council debate drew calls for urgent action; Qatar urged respect for international law and dialogue, while the UAE demanded an immediate ceasefire, a humanitarian truce, and expansion of the UN arms embargo nationwide. Humanitarian Fallout: A UN report says poverty has surged to 73% of Sudan’s population, with about 24 million living below the poverty line as war destroys livelihoods and drives families into extreme coping. War Economy & External Support: A new investigation alleges RSF training camps and supply routes in eastern Libya linked to UAE support, renewing scrutiny of foreign backers as El Obeid braces for further violence. Accountability Fight: Separate reporting claims the ICC prosecutor’s office has not sought new RSF arrest warrants in Darfur since the war began, despite prior promises.

El-Obeid Atrocity Warning: UN rights chief Volker Turk issued a “red alert” over a looming RSF assault on El-Obeid, saying civilians face siege-like conditions for 18 months, relentless drone strikes, and documented abuses including executions, abductions, torture, sexual violence, and looting. Diplomatic Pressure: Qatar urged respect for international law and dialogue at the UN Human Rights Council, while a coalition for atrocity prevention warned of mass civilian risk and called for urgent action. Ceasefire Push & Arms Embargo: The UAE backed an immediate ceasefire and humanitarian truce, condemned attacks on civilians and infrastructure, and called to expand the UN arms embargo across Sudan. Sudan Government Response: Sudan’s foreign minister said Khartoum is ready for “sincere initiatives” to end the war, including a roadmap featuring RSF dismantling and a call to designate the RSF as a terrorist group. Accountability Spotlight: Amnesty launched a report on RSF crimes against humanity in El Fasher, adding pressure as UN and rights groups warn El-Obeid could repeat the same pattern. Humanitarian Fallout: UN reporting said drone attacks in El-Obeid (June 6–28) killed at least 45 civilians and damaged fuel, water, markets, and schools, worsening shortages.

El-Obeid Atrocity Warning: UN rights chief Volker Turk issued a “red alert” over a looming catastrophe in Sudan’s El-Obeid, North Kordofan, warning civilians face siege-like conditions, relentless drone strikes, and an imminent paramilitary assault as the SAF and RSF battle for control. Humanitarian Crisis Risk: UN officials and diplomats say the situation could mirror past worst-case scenarios in Darfur, with fuel, water, and basic services under severe strain and hundreds of thousands at risk. Kordofan Frontline Pressure: Reporting highlights RSF troop buildup and intensifying attacks around the city, while Sudanese forces claim drone and battlefield pressure elsewhere in Kordofan and Darfur. Accountability Push: Amnesty International renewed calls for international action over RSF crimes against humanity and alleged ethnic cleansing in North Darfur, adding fuel to efforts for documentation and accountability. Regional Security Links: Separate reporting points to alleged arms-smuggling and foreign-linked support networks tied to Sudan’s rebels, underscoring how external supply routes keep the war machine running.

Darfur Displacement: UN’s IOM says more than 6,000 people fled Kulbus and nearby villages in West Darfur after RSF threats, with most crossing into Chad as fighting between the Sudanese army and RSF continues. El-Obeid Under Siege: UN-backed warnings intensify as the RSF tightens its siege on El Obeid in North Kordofan, with drone strikes hitting civilian areas and fears of mass atrocities; US senators also warn of a possible “El Fasher repeat.” Accountability Push: Amnesty reports RSF crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing around El Fasher, documenting abuses against civilians and children—fueling calls for international accountability. South Kordofan Violence: Sudan’s government blames an RSF-allied armed group for killings in Kauda, while reports cite deadly clashes tied to tribal tensions and attacks including on a Catholic church. Humanitarian Access: Sudan extends the Adré border crossing with Chad for three more months to keep aid flowing into western conflict zones, citing UN monitoring and transparency needs. Military Developments: SAF says it shot down an RSF Chinese-made FH-95 drone over White Nile, as fighting and drone warfare expand across Darfur and Kordofan. Health Crisis: WHO says cholera in West Kordofan has killed at least 120 people, with over 1,100 suspected cases as conflict and displacement cripple response capacity.

El Obeid Under Threat: U.S. senators Risch and Coons warned of RSF preparations for an assault on El Obeid, citing drone strikes and attacks on civilian infrastructure, as 500,000 people face “peace and survival” fears. Human Rights Pressure: Amnesty says RSF committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing in el-Fasher, while the UN Human Rights Council is set to debate an emergency draft resolution on El Obeid and starvation as a weapon of war. Aid Access: Sudan extended the Adré border crossing with Chad for three more months to keep humanitarian deliveries flowing, with UN monitoring backing transparency. Health Crisis: WHO reports Sudan’s cholera outbreak has reached 120 deaths and 1,102 suspected cases, with conflict and damaged services driving near-constant outbreaks. Regional/UN Moves: UN Secretary-General Guterres appointed Dmitry Shlapachenko as Resident Coordinator in Azerbaijan, previously linked to UNITAMS work in Sudan. Governance in Iraq (Context): Iraq’s Reconstruction and Development Coalition says political blocs blocked an Al-Sudani cabinet reshuffle, as anti-corruption arrests continue.

El Obeid Under Siege: The UN Human Rights Council is set for an emergency debate over escalating violence in El Obeid, with a draft resolution urging an urgent probe into alleged RSF crimes and warning that starvation is being used as a weapon. Humanitarian Alarm: UN officials say drone strikes have damaged schools, displacement sites, and fuel infrastructure, while “siege-like conditions” are trapping thousands and worsening fuel and water shortages. Atrocity Findings: Amnesty International says RSF committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing in el-Fasher, including deliberate targeting of non-Arab communities and attacks on civilians and villages. War Economy & Accountability: Analysts highlight Sudan’s conflict being sustained through financing networks, arms supply routes, and shifting alliances, while international pressure grows over external support to armed groups. Blue Nile Fighting: Sudanese Army claims it retook Magaja and Sarkam in Blue Nile after clashes with RSF and SPLM-N. Health Funding Gap: WHO says health funding for Sudan’s humanitarian response is only about a third of what’s needed, as cholera cases surge again. Regional Diplomacy: Turkey and Egypt intelligence chiefs met to discuss Gaza ceasefire implementation and broader regional security, including Sudan’s SAF–RSF conflict. Arab Parliament Session: Qatar’s Shura Council delegation joined Arab Parliament committee work in Cairo, reviewing developments including Sudan and drafting resolutions on regional security and non-interference.

Atrocity Allegations in Darfur: Amnesty International says RSF’s siege and capture of el-Fasher involved ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity, including attacks on Zaghawa communities and widespread violence against children, urging a nationwide ceasefire and international protection. El Obeid Escalation Fears: UN officials warn drone attacks and intensifying fighting could turn El Obeid into “another El Fasher,” while the Peace Government says it’s coordinating with the US, UK and EU on civilian protection and aid delivery. Military Claims and Frontline Shifts: Sudan’s army says it retook Kulbus near the Chadian border and reports destroying large numbers of RSF vehicles and drones across Darfur, Blue Nile and Kordofan; RSF has not publicly responded. Medical Workers Detained: Sudan Doctors Network accuses RSF of holding 20 doctors in El Fasher since the city’s seizure, calling for disclosure and safe access for healthcare staff. External Links to the War: A report to the ICC alleges Libyan and Emirati officials helped supply Sudan war crimes, including alleged RSF support routes via UAE airports and transit hubs. Humanitarian Access: UN welcomes Sudan extending the Adre border crossing for aid until Sept. 30, even as violence and drone strikes disrupt operations.

El Obeid Humanitarian Alarm: The UN Human Rights Council is set for an emergency debate after warnings that an RSF assault could trigger “large-scale atrocities,” with UN officials saying El Obeid risks becoming “another El Fasher” as drone attacks disrupt water and electricity and raise cholera fears. Sudan Army Gains in Darfur: Sudan’s army and allied Joint Forces claim they retook Kulbus, a strategic town near the Chad border, though RSF has not commented and claims can’t be independently verified. RSF Defections, Accountability Anger: More RSF fighters are reportedly defecting to the Sudanese Army, but survivors and witnesses say welcoming them fuels anger over alleged past atrocities. Humanitarian Access: Sudan extended for three months the opening of the Adré crossing with Chad for UN-monitored humanitarian aid delivery until September 30. Economy & Aid Pressure: China agreed to waive a $50m Sudan loan, a small but notable relief as Khartoum seeks reconstruction support amid war-driven economic collapse. Regional Politics Watch: Turkey’s intelligence chief met Egypt’s counterpart to coordinate on Gaza and discussed Sudan’s SAF–RSF conflict, alongside Libya and Somalia. On-the-Ground Tragedy: A traffic crash in Sudan’s River Nile State killed at least 18 people.

El Obeid Crisis at UN Spotlight: Several countries have requested an urgent UN Security Council debate on Sudan’s al-Obeid as fighting intensifies, with diplomats warning of worsening civilian safety and humanitarian access. Humanitarian Corridors and Cholera: UN agencies say violence and a widening cholera outbreak are disrupting aid, while Sudan has extended the Adre border crossing opening with Chad to Sept. 30 to keep relief moving. RSF Accusations and “Human Shields”: Sudan’s “Peace Government” aligned with the army alleges the RSF is blocking civilians from leaving, forcing people to bear arms, and using residential areas for attacks—claims coming as the UN warns of an imminent risk of mass atrocities. Military Developments in Darfur and Blue Nile: The Sudanese Armed Forces and allied Joint Force claim new gains, including capturing Kolbus locality in West Darfur and reporting fresh advances in Blue Nile. Political Friction in Port Sudan: The army-aligned prime minister, Kamil Idris, faces mounting criticism over daily service failures in Khartoum, with reports he may be replaced. Security Strategy Shift: Burhan orders expanded intelligence and counterterrorism cooperation with regional and international partners to tackle cross-border trafficking and extremist networks. China Debt Relief: Sudan and China sign an agreement cancelling about $50m in interest-free loans, a small but symbolic boost amid economic collapse.

El Obeid Humanitarian Alarm: Sudan’s Peace Government and UN agencies warn El Obeid in North Kordofan is nearing mass atrocities as drone attacks, restrictions on movement, and forced civilian recruitment intensify. Civilian Protection Push: The government is calling for immediate humanitarian corridors and a ceasefire to evacuate the wounded and let residents flee safely. Cholera and Insecurity: UN OCHA reports a widening cholera outbreak alongside continued violence, with aid operations disrupted by security and communications breakdowns; it also notes drone strikes in North Darfur and displacement in North Darfur. RSF Accusations: Khartoum’s Peace Government accuses the RSF of using civilians as human shields and preventing people from leaving while attacking residential areas. Foreign Support Claims: A new investigation alleges UAE-backed training of Sudanese rebels in secret Libya camps, reinforcing fears of a regional proxy war. Diplomatic and Economic Moves: Sudan and China sign debt relief cancelling $50m in interest-free loans, while China also signals continued support for recovery. War’s Political Stakes: Commentary highlights how agriculture and rural livelihoods are central to Sudan’s post-war legitimacy and stability, not just a technical sector.

Sudan War & Humanitarian Crisis: UN warnings and AFP reporting paint a grim picture in El Obeid, Kordofan, as RSF drone strikes and attacks on power and fuel disrupt water and electricity, leaving civilians dependent on tanker trucks and wells while fears grow of a wider assault. External Military Support Allegations: Sudan’s UN envoy Al-Harith Idris accused the UAE of sustaining RSF through logistics corridors inside eastern Libya, including ports, airports, and overland routes, and urged an immediate halt to the financial and military support. Political-Military Standoff: Sudan’s army leadership reiterated it will not accept peace talks unless RSF disarms, as the conflict deepens and humanitarian access faces new pressure. Regional Governance Note: In South Sudan, President Salva Kiir reshuffled Western Equatoria State officials, dismissing and appointing ministers and commissioners via republican decrees. Iraq Anti-Corruption Spillover: Iraq’s Green Zone crackdown arrested 47 officials in a major graft purge, with political blocs and the bar association backing the campaign—an echo of how governance fights travel across the region.

Sudan War & El Obeid: Drone and rocket attacks are intensifying around El Obeid in North Kordofan, hitting schools and civilian sites and worsening fuel, water, and bread shortages as prices surge. Military Stance: Sudan’s army chief, Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, says there will be no peace talks unless the RSF disarms and dismantles its forces. US Sanctions: The US Treasury (OFAC) announced new sanctions on eight individuals and entities accused of supplying weapons, explosives, and foreign fighters to both SAF and RSF, and also barred Sudanese state air carriers from operating in the US. Mining & Sanctions Fallout: An Indian firm linked to explosives shipments to Sudan says it supplied only industrial mining explosives and disputes claims of large-scale arms-related deliveries. Regional Diplomacy: The UAE called for an immediate, unconditional humanitarian truce in Sudan and urged a time-bound roadmap toward a civilian-led political transition. Iraq Cross-Story (governance): Iraq launched a major anti-corruption crackdown in Baghdad’s Green Zone, arresting dozens of officials and lawmakers, while media regulators also suspended TV presenters for alleged rule violations.